Latest ECRI Weekly Leading Index Readings

HenryTo

For some reason, the ECRI doesn't publish weekly press releases anymore on its Weekly Leading Index readings - although one can still get access to the weekly readings via a (free) registration.

For the week ending June 17, 2005, the Weekly Leading Index level is at 133.4 - a growth rate of 0.2% from last year. I will try to update this thread every week from now on.

Hope everyone is having a great Sunday!

Henry

fh1951 · Junior Poster Joined: 15 Dec 2004 Posts: 30

Week ending 2/17/2006:

WLI = 137.4
ROC = 4.1%

fh1951 · Junior Poster Joined: 15 Dec 2004 Posts: 30

Week ending 2/10/2006:

WLI = 136.9
ROC = 4.7%

HenryTo · Posted: Sat Feb 11, 2006 11:22 am Post subject:

Week ending 2/3/2006:

WLI = 138.0
ROC = 4.9%

Amazing - looks like the economy hasn't totally run out of steam yet - although European growth is definitely very disappointing at the moment.

fh1951 · Junior Poster Joined: 15 Dec 2004 Posts: 30

Week ending 1/27/2006:

WLI = 138.2
ROC = 4.6%

This series seems to be suggesting stronger economic growth ahead.

fh1951 · Junior Poster Joined: 15 Dec 2004 Posts: 30

Week ending 1/20/2006:

WLI = 138.3
ROC = 3.8%

fh1951 · Junior Poster Joined: 15 Dec 2004 Posts: 30

Week ending 1/13/2006:

WLI = 137.7
ROC = 2.9%

fh1951 · Junior Poster Joined: 15 Dec 2004 Posts: 30

Week ending 1/6/2006:

WLI = 136.5
ROC = 1.8%

fh1951 · Junior Poster Joined: 15 Dec 2004 Posts: 30

Week ending 12/30/2005:

WLI = 135.6
ROC = 1.4%

HenryTo · Posted: Fri Dec 30, 2005 2:37 pm Post subject:

Thanks for posting the latest numbers, fh1951. My guess is that next week's numbers will be bad, given that the yield curve has inverted per the official definition.

Have a great New Year's and 2006!

Henry

fh1951 · Junior Poster Joined: 15 Dec 2004 Posts: 30

Week ending 12/23/2005:

WLI = 135.0
ROC = 1.5%

A Happy and Profitable New Year to All!

HenryTo · Posted: Sun Dec 25, 2005 11:36 am Post subject: Week ending 12/16/2005

Week ending 12/16/2005:

WLI = 135.4
ROC = 1.7%

ROC bounced up a little bit in the latest week, but still down from the reading of two weeks ago. Note that the yield curve has a very good chance of inverting (Fed Funds minus 30-year rate) after the next rate hike on January 31st.

HenryTo · Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2005 12:18 am Post subject:

Week ending 12/9/2005:

WLI = 135.4
ROC = 1.4%

This growth rate represents the lowest reading since the November 18th reading.

fh1951 · Junior Poster Joined: 15 Dec 2004 Posts: 30

Week ending 12/2/2005:

WLI = 135.7
ROC = 1.8%

HenryTo · Posted: Sun Dec 04, 2005 12:18 pm Post subject:

Week ending 11/25/2005:

WLI = 135.4
ROC = 1.5%

fh1951 · Junior Poster Joined: 15 Dec 2004 Posts: 30

Week ending 11/18/2005:

WLI = 134.9
ROC = 1.2%