Latest ECRI Weekly Leading Index Readings

HenryTo

For some reason, the ECRI doesn't publish weekly press releases anymore on its Weekly Leading Index readings - although one can still get access to the weekly readings via a (free) registration.

For the week ending June 17, 2005, the Weekly Leading Index level is at 133.4 - a growth rate of 0.2% from last year. I will try to update this thread every week from now on.

Hope everyone is having a great Sunday!

Henry

rffrydr · Posted: Thu Nov 02, 2006 8:49 am Post subject:

Productivity a better indicator of cycle than productivity:

http://www.forbes.com/infoimaging/feeds/ap/2006/11/02/ap3140669.html

....indicating?
_________________
Today is the Tomorrow you worried about Yesterday!

rffrydr · Posted: Wed Nov 01, 2006 2:30 pm Post subject:

Economy continues to surprise on the down side:

http://www.marketwatch.com/News/Story/Story.aspx?siteid=mktw&guid=%7B98F7BC14-4A79-43BE-B89C-0DC827EDC3D0%7D

Look at that drop in prices paid!

Again the question: when will bad news become bad news?

HenryTo · Posted: Fri Oct 27, 2006 2:29 pm Post subject:

Week ending 10/20/2006:

WLI = 136.4
Annual ROC = -0.1%

Too early to say that the economy is showing signs of recovery but this latest statistic from the ECRI is encouraging ("not too hot and not too cold").

HenryTo · Posted: Sat Oct 21, 2006 1:26 am Post subject:

Week ending 10/13/2006:

WLI = 136.5
Annual ROC = -0.5%

Last week's WLI was revised to 135.7 and Annual ROC was revised to negative 0.8%.

HenryTo · Posted: Fri Oct 13, 2006 10:31 am Post subject:

Week ending 10/6/2006:

WLI = 135.6
Annual ROC = -1.0%

HenryTo · Posted: Tue Oct 10, 2006 9:01 am Post subject:

Thanks, Kirk. I will go and check it out. Surprised

Hope you are doing well.

Best,
Henry

Kirk · Newbie Joined: 05 Jun 2006 Posts: 11 Location: California

Hi Henry

I'm glad to see you follow ECRI's work. Lakshman Achuthan, a managing director at ECRI, has a ECRI Discussion Forum where he answers questions. I'd like to invite you and your readers to take advantage of this. Lakshman and I've become good friends over the past years and even met for breakfast when he was on my side of the US for a conference in Berkeley, CA. a few months ago.

ECRI Forum

Best Regards
_________________
Kirk out
http://www.theretirementadvisor.net
http://kirklindstrom.blogspot.com/

HenryTo · Posted: Sat Oct 07, 2006 4:15 pm Post subject:

Week ending 9/29/2006:

WLI = 136.4
Annual ROC = -0.6%

HenryTo · Posted: Fri Sep 29, 2006 6:04 pm Post subject:

Week ending 9/22/2006:

WLI = 135.1
Annual ROC = -0.9%

HenryTo · Posted: Fri Sep 29, 2006 6:04 pm Post subject:

Week ending 9/15/2006:

WLI = 135.5
Annual ROC = -0.8%

HenryTo · Posted: Sat Sep 16, 2006 12:46 am Post subject:

ECRI weekly leading index still pointing to subdued growth in the U.S. economy but definitely not a recession at this point:
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Week ending 9/8/2006:

WLI = 136.6
Annual ROC = -0.9%

HenryTo · Posted: Sat Sep 16, 2006 12:45 am Post subject:

I apologize for the delay in posting this.

Week ending 9/1/2006:

WLI = 135.7
Annual ROC = -1.3%

HenryTo · Posted: Fri Sep 01, 2006 7:42 pm Post subject:

Week ending 8/25/2006:

WLI = 135.1
Annual ROC = -1.7%

HenryTo · Posted: Fri Aug 25, 2006 8:20 am Post subject:

Week ending 8/18/2006:

WLI = 135.2
Annual ROC = -1.6%

WLI now at 179-week low but not pointing to a recession just yet.

HenryTo · Posted: Fri Aug 18, 2006 2:29 pm Post subject:

Week ending 8/11/2006:

WLI = 135.3
Annual ROC = -1.4%

Jury still out but it looks like that the Fed paused at the "right time." Oil prices have moderated and it looks like metal prices (maybe even nickel?) will do the same.